Five-level abstraction hierarchy with the 'why, what and how' characterization.
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"Where did the global elite go to school" - by Ricardo Salas-Diaz and Kevin Young.
Interesting paper on where 6000 global elites went to college. Billionaires, CEOs, heads of state, central bankers, etc. In a word: Harvard. Fully 10% of global elites went to Harvard. Elite US schools are over-represented (23% IvyPlus), but nobody comes close to Harvard.
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If you simply ask an LLM to straight out predict a timeseries like this:
```
<history>
(t1, v1) (t2, v2) (t3, v3)
</history>
<forecast>
(t4, v4) (t5, v5)
</forecast>
```
making sure to prepend the prompt like this:
```
Here is some context about the task. Make sure to factor in any background knowledge, satisfy any constraints, and respect any scenarios.
<context>
((context))
</context>
```
it will just… do it? beating SOTA timeseries forcasting?!
llama 3.1 405b directly prompted is more precise at forecasting real-world series than:
- stats-based timeseries models (ARIMA, ETS)
- foundation models specifically trained for time series (eg. chronos)
- multimodal forecasting models (eg, time-LLM)
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Places to Intervene in a System
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We didn't take any drugs...
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Vintage Photographs Show the Massive FBI's Fingerprint Files, 1944
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Nanzenji Temple, Kyoto, Japan
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Art by Thomas Leeroy
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A trotting red-crowned crane
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From Being to Becoming: Time and Complexity in the Physical Sciences – by Ilya Prigogine (1981)
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Maya within Maya. An ILLUSION WITHIN the ILLUSION. Fractal illusion. Fractal illuminat.
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The Reiyukai Shakaden Temple in Tokyo, Japan,
The Reiyukai Shakaden Temple in Tokyo, Japan, is an architectural marvel that blends traditional and modern design elements. Completed in 1975, the temple was designed to serve as the headquarters for the Reiyukai, a lay Buddhist organization. It stands out for its distinctive futuristic aesthetic and symbolic design.
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You future self is watching you right now through your memories.
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"Activate ChatGPTs recursive learning" - If only it was this easy...
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Relax