Forecasting the future is notoriously ineffective. Backcasting from the future is notoriously effective.

Forecasting the future is notoriously ineffective. Backcasting from the future is notoriously effective.
Ideas are like viruses: They are often highly infections and give you a temporary fever that clouds the mind and leads to rash decisions that feel great now but are mostly bad later. Great ideas are very rare and tend to be even better once the initial fever has passed.
Ideas are like wine. They take years to mature and taste horrible in the meantime - but the wait is worth it.
Photokeratitis (snow blindness) refers to temporary, painful eye damage from exposure to ultraviolet light.
Imagikeratitis (idea blindness) refers to temporary, painful brain damage from exposure to information.
‘知不知上,不知知病。夫味病病,是以不病。’
"It is far superior to know that one does not know, as it is a sickness to confuse one’s ignorance for knowledge. Only when one becomes sick of this sickness will one cease to be sick. " - Dao De Jing 71
The distinction between a "belief system" and "knowledge system" maybe cast in story-song terms.
The story "goes"; the song "echoes".
Part of a song can bring joys an unfinished story can't.
There are some "true stories", but no dilemmas of whether a song is "true" or "false".
"The art of knowing is knowing what to ignore" - Rumi
In his 1967 book "The Medium Is the Massage", Marshall McLuhan adopted the term "massage" to denote the effect of numerous media in how they massage the human sensorium. Today, AI is enabling a new class of powerful massage techniques and makes classic ones wildly accessible.
The internet is a militaristic MMORPG and the game is rigged. The only way to win is by conducting network-centric massage at scale. This shall be a continued theme of our doing in the year ahead. All hail discordia!