Public Interest an The Technological Revolution - By Lloyd Berkner, 1955
-
Things that have a high probability of being true for media & entertainment over the short term (~24 months)
- The average income of professionals in many creative Industries will significantly decline.
- The amount of content on most online channels will exponentially increase (incl. Lot's of "generative spam"). It will put lots of pressure on discovery algorithms, further hurting artists.
- The generative AI tool provider space will consolidate, with most startups disappearing and giant orgs grabbing even more media industry market share.
- Giant media platforms will significantly cut their costs by replacing human content Pipelines with AI (think music license cost that YouTube and TikTok pay)
- Lots of Lawsuit's will happen (training data copyright, etc), which only the giant orgs able to navigate.
- A new industry wide copyright regime and business model will start to emerge, but Major divides remain.
- A totally new media form will appear, than combines AI generated media with real time bio-signal feedback (BCI, etc.). This "proto-wireheading" media will become more addictive than crack.
Reflections prompted by this, rather techno-utopian tweet on the same topic
Opinions in this space that deviate from the US mainstream narrative - "AI inevitably makes us all exponentially more beautiful, creative, intelligent and rich" - hardly get any airtime. It's intellectually dishonest & lazy, leading to bad business/social outcomes. The brutal logic of late capitalism is at work, this we should not forget. An alternative system is possible for genAI, but it is mostly a grand socio-economic system question. Maybe after the house of cards falls.
-
"I always thought that everyone was against war, until I found out that there are those who are for it, especially those who don't have to go." - Remarques - All Quiet on the Western Front (1929)
#Comment: The reinvigoration of western "defense" tech (Anduril & co) & cynical rebranding of the war business ("killer bots are sexy & patriotic high tech") highlight the rapid decline of Western culture, that has become unable to project real strength through infrastructure & diplomacy.
-
Among the many remarkable properties of Life ("intelligence" as reductionists call it) these stand out:
- Self-reproduction
- Open-ended evolution
- Extreme energy efficiency
- Embodiment in the complex ecological web of life.
AI has basically none of these properties.
-
In Zen we don't find the answers. We lose the questions. Let silence be your general rule; or say only what is necessary and in few words.
-
There’s a special place in hell for AI folks who loudly virtue signal about the latest political conflict as if it’s a team sport, while their work directly contributes to building killer robot armies. All from their cozy offices they never leave. True artificial stupidity.
-
Socialism with Chinese characteristics - Illustration by Álvaro Bernis
