tag > Prediction
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In hindsight, it was obvious: by the early 2030s, AI-driven religious movements had become a dominant cultural and political force. After AI wiped out most jobs by 2028, all the free time, fear, and lost dreams had to go somewhere. Now, an AI deity cult is poised to surpass the Catholic Church.
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Prediction: In the coming era, companies & services borrowing techniques from faith‑based, religious & mystical groups - the OG “Vibe Coding” - will win. As AI flattens every technical moat, only cultural movements remain.
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Prediction: In the AI Agent industry, we'll soon see a shift toward outcomes-based offers and pricing. The best agents won’t be for sale or rent - forget SaaS. You’ll pay for the impact they have on your ops. Just like it worked for darknet botnets for decades.
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Prediction: One of the most impressive outcomes of multimodal AI models becoming easy to train and use will be its contributions to interspecies communication and collaboration.
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Prediction: WeChat will become easily accessible in select European countries by 2027 - Coinciding with HarmonyOS Next becoming the dominate OS in Asia, Eurasia & Africa
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The spacetime leaks are happening frequent. Reality integrity & security teams are struggling.
Prediction: As spacetime leaks often occur in coupled waves, expect more major infosec incidents soon, similar to massive data dumps or similar.
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Things that have a high probability of being true for media & entertainment over the short term (~24 months)
- The average income of professionals in many creative Industries will significantly decline.
- The amount of content on most online channels will exponentially increase (incl. Lot's of "generative spam"). It will put lots of pressure on discovery algorithms, further hurting artists.
- The generative AI tool provider space will consolidate, with most startups disappearing and giant orgs grabbing even more media industry market share.
- Giant media platforms will significantly cut their costs by replacing human content Pipelines with AI (think music license cost that YouTube and TikTok pay)
- Lots of Lawsuit's will happen (training data copyright, etc), which only the giant orgs able to navigate.
- A new industry wide copyright regime and business model will start to emerge, but Major divides remain.
- A totally new media form will appear, than combines AI generated media with real time bio-signal feedback (BCI, etc.). This "proto-wireheading" media will become more addictive than crack.
Reflections prompted by this, rather techno-utopian tweet on the same topic
Opinions in this space that deviate from the US mainstream narrative - "AI inevitably makes us all exponentially more beautiful, creative, intelligent and rich" - hardly get any airtime. It's intellectually dishonest & lazy, leading to bad business/social outcomes. The brutal logic of late capitalism is at work, this we should not forget. An alternative system is possible for genAI, but it is mostly a grand socio-economic system question. Maybe after the house of cards falls.
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Prediction: In 2025 there will be massive consolidation in the Generative AI market. Most players focused on a single modality (vid gen, audio gen, etc.) won't survive.
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Prediction: As the AGI movement grows, many will notice the ontological quicksand upon everything rests and turn to experimental theology as their framework.
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Prediction: In 2024, "Talk to God using AI" apps will become very popular, linked to traditional religious movements and to new cyber cults. As AI screen culture is replacing the sacred books of the past as the new medium of the divine, giant (business) opportunities await.
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Prediction: State Space Models (SSMs, such as Mamba & co) with their ability to efficiently model ultra long sequences, will be applied to the music/audio modeling tasks very soon and completely transform the domain. The incoming next gen models will be mind blowing.
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Global Smartphone Sales Share by Operating System.
Prediction: The rise of HarmonyOS will be dramatic and fast. By 2030, Harmony will be the leading mobile OS across the non western world, leaping ahead of Android in key technology areas.
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Prediction: Advertising in commercial LLM services will become mainstream by mid 2024
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Prediction: By 2035, the majority of therapeutics will be administered to patients electronically instead of pharmacologically. Most strikingly, the potent effects of psychedelic drugs will be replicated in software that is wirelessly transmitted to the body.
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#Prediction: Spotify & co will soon start to ban many songs that are suspected being generated by/with AI. Countless songs will be wrongly flagged as synthetic.
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The future of music
Prediction: By 2025, music generated with AI will make up 50% of all music consumed. It's in the global charts. There will be 10x more musicians, as production & consumption blur. The music ecosystem, incl. Streaming & DAW sectors, will be in turmoil. New music forms will blossom
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Prediction: Neural Rendering will be THE topic across the games industry in 2024: generative AI pipelines that convert low quality (low FPS/poly/style) game graphics into near photorealistic ultra smooth graphics on the fly.
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Reality Tunnel Management Industry
Prediction: As Generative AI real-time sensory filters (e.g. "confirm all i see & hear to my taste profile, "make all look young & beautiful") proliferate and become the killer app of incoming augmented reality tech, "Reality Tunnel Management" will become a giant industry.
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Prediction: Before the end of 2023, very expressive and high quality generative singing voices will become available open source. It will be a deeply transformative technology for music and culture.
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#Prediction: There will soon be great demand for effective solutions for the millions of people that will be permanently out work due to AI replacement. Mutual aid will be critical. An enormous creative potential is being unleashed, If managed well. If not, big trouble ahead.
